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USD/JPY picks up on higher US yields, 148.70 is a key resistance

  • The US Dollar trims losses and approaches resistance at 148.70.
  • Higher US yields are supportring the USD ahead of Powell's speech.
  • Hopes of some BoJ monetary policy normalisation in 2024 are expecte to underpin the Yen.


The US Dollar is attempting a recovery from 2, ½-month lows at 146.65 favoured by a mild recovery on US Treasury yields, which is weighing on the Japanese Yen.

The broader trend, however, remains negative as the soft US inflation and the somewhat weaker macroeconomic data have practically confirmed the end of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle.


All eyes are on Fed Powell's conference


Also on Thursday, the New York Fed President, John Wiliams, suggested that interest rates might be at their peak endorsing that view. In this context, Fed Chairman Powell’s conference due later today will be analysed in detail to assess the bank’s next steps.

On the other hand, increasing expectations that the Bank of Japan will exit its ultra-loose monetary policy in 2024 are providing some support to the JPY.

From a wider perspective, the pair maintains the bearish bias from mid-November highs near 152.00, with resistance at 148.75 highly likely to cap bulls ahead of the November 22 and 23 highs at 149.75. Supports are 147.77 and 146.65.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 148.12
Today Daily Change -0.12
Today Daily Change % -0.08
Today daily open 148.24
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 149.72
Daily SMA50 149.63
Daily SMA100 147.09
Daily SMA200 142.04
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 148.52
Previous Daily Low 146.84
Previous Weekly High 149.99
Previous Weekly Low 147.16
Previous Monthly High 151.91
Previous Monthly Low 146.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 147.88
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 147.48
Daily Pivot Point S1 147.22
Daily Pivot Point S2 146.19
Daily Pivot Point S3 145.54
Daily Pivot Point R1 148.89
Daily Pivot Point R2 149.54
Daily Pivot Point R3 150.56

 

 

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