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USD/CNH Price Analysis: Refreshes 14-month low after China Caixin PMI

  • USD/CNH drops the lowest since July 2019 after China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI beat forecasts with a positive margin.
  • Sustained trading below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, bearish MACD and CNH-positive data favor sellers.
  • 200-week SMA can offer immediate rest to the pair before filling the early-May 2019 gap.

USD/CNH bears are unstoppable near the multi-month low of 6.8316 during the early Tuesday. The quote has been declining since the last six weeks while the latest weakness could be traced from China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI for August.

China’s August month manufacturing activity data surged past-52.6 expected and 52.8 prior to 53.1. The figures joined the previous day’s official numbers that also rose above downbeat forecasts.

Technically, the pair’s sustained trading below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of March 2019 to May 2020 upside joins bearish MACD to suggest the quote’s additional weakness.

In doing so, the 200-week SMA level near 6.8125 becomes the sellers’ first choice ahead of the area between 6.7682 and 6.7178.

Alternatively, any recovery moves need to cross the previous day’s low near 6.8435 before diverting the upside moves to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 6.8725.

USD/CNH weekly chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 6.834
Today Daily Change -0.0136
Today Daily Change % -0.20%
Today daily open 6.8476
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 6.922
Daily SMA50 6.9823
Daily SMA100 7.0423
Daily SMA200 7.0224
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 6.8618
Previous Daily Low 6.8436
Previous Weekly High 6.9216
Previous Weekly Low 6.8578
Previous Monthly High 6.9938
Previous Monthly Low 6.8436
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 6.8506
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 6.8549
Daily Pivot Point S1 6.8403
Daily Pivot Point S2 6.8329
Daily Pivot Point S3 6.8221
Daily Pivot Point R1 6.8585
Daily Pivot Point R2 6.8692
Daily Pivot Point R3 6.8766

 

 

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