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USD/CHF remains depressed near 0.9235 zone, downside seems cushioned ahead of US CPI

  • USD/CHF witnessed some selling on Wednesday amid subdued USD demand.
  • The risk-on mood undermined the safe-haven CHF and helped limit the slide.
  • Investors also seemed reluctant ahead of the release of the key US CPI report.

The USD/CHF pair remained on the defensive through the first half of the European session and was last seen hovering just a few pips above the daily low, around the 0.9235 region.

The US dollar edged lower on Thursday and exerted some downward pressure on the USD/CHF pair, though a generally positive risk tone undermined the safe-haven Swiss franc and extended some support. Apart from this, elevated US Treasury bond yields, along with hawkish Fed expectations acted as a tailwind for the greenback and further contributed to limiting the downside for the major.

Investors seem convinced that the Fed would adopt a more aggressive policy response to contain high inflation and have been pricing in a 50 bps rate hike in March. Thursday's release of the US consumer inflation figures should provide clues about the pace of the Fed's policy tightening cycle. This, in turn, will influence the USD and the near-term trajectory for the USD/CHF pair.

Looking at the broader picture, the pair has been oscillating in a familiar trading range since the beginning of this week. This further points to indecision among traders and warrants some caution before placing directional bets around the USD/CHF pair. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a strong follow-through selling in order to confirm that the post-NFP rally has lost steam.

Thursday's US economic docket also features the release of the usual Weekly Initial Jobless Claims data late during the early North American session. This, along with the US bond yields, will drive the USD demand and provide some impetus to the USD/CHF pair. Apart from this, traders will further take cues from the broader market risk sentiment to grab some short-term opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.9235
Today Daily Change -0.0006
Today Daily Change % -0.06
Today daily open 0.9241
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9204
Daily SMA50 0.9202
Daily SMA100 0.9217
Daily SMA200 0.917
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9255
Previous Daily Low 0.9222
Previous Weekly High 0.9343
Previous Weekly Low 0.9177
Previous Monthly High 0.9343
Previous Monthly Low 0.9092
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9234
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9242
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9224
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9206
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9191
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9256
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9272
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9289

 

 

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