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USD/CAD keeps the red near multi-week low, below mid-1.2700s post-US data

  • USD/CAD continued losing ground for the second straight day amid sustained USD selling.
  • Softer-than-expected US PCE Price Index data for April did little to impress the USD bulls.
  • Even modest pullback in oil prices also did little to undermine the loonie or lend support.

The USD/CAD pair maintained its offered tone below mid-1.2700s, or over a three-week low through the early North American session and moved little post-US macro data.

The headline US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index decelerated to a 6.3% YoY rate in April as against consensus estimates pointing to a steady reading of 6.6%. The Core PCE Price Index - the Fed's primary inflation measure - fell from 5.2% in March to 4.9% during the reported month, though was in line with market expectations.

The data indicated that inflationary pressures in the US might be easing and reaffirmed the idea that the US central could pause the current rate hike cycle later this year. This was evident from the recent slump in the US Treasury bond yields to a multi-week low, which, along with the risk-on impulse, weighed on the safe-haven US dollar.

The prevalent selling bias surrounding the greenback turned out to be a key factor that dragged the USD/CAD pair lower for the second successive day, back closer to the monthly swing low. Bulls seemed rather unimpressed and largely shrugged off modest pullback in crude oil prices, which tend to undermine the commodity-linked loonie.

With the USD price dynamics turning out to be an exclusive driver of the USD/CAD pair's ongoing downward trajectory, traders now look forward to the revised Michigan US Consumer Sentiment Index. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader market risk sentiment, will influence the USD and provide some impetus to the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.274
Today Daily Change -0.0034
Today Daily Change % -0.27
Today daily open 1.2774
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2871
Daily SMA50 1.2704
Daily SMA100 1.2696
Daily SMA200 1.2663
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2849
Previous Daily Low 1.2769
Previous Weekly High 1.2982
Previous Weekly Low 1.2776
Previous Monthly High 1.288
Previous Monthly Low 1.2403
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2799
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2818
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2745
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2717
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2665
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2825
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2877
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2906

 

 

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