Russian Oil supply limited despite sanctions relief – Commerzbank
|Even with potential US sanctions easing, Russian Oil output is unlikely to surge, as OPEC+ production limits and near-capacity operations constrain any significant increase, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
OPEC+ caps hinder significant output gains
"However, even if US sanctions were eased, a significant increase in Russian Oil supply would not be expected, as Russia is bound by OPEC+ production targets. It is conceivable that Russian Oil production could close the current gap to the agreed OPEC+ production volume."
"According to the latest figures from the IEA, this would mean an increase of 200,000 barrels per day, while OPEC and S&P Global Commodity Insights estimates put the increase at around 100,000 barrels per day."
"As Russia is likely already producing close to its capacity limit, a significant increase in production is hardly possible if OPEC+ decides to further raise production targets next year. According to IEA estimates, Russia's production capacity is already below the agreed production level."
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.