NZD/USD: Further losses unlikely above 0.5970 – UOB
|NZD/USD needs to clear the 0.5970 level to reduce the risks of further retracements, argue Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang and Senior FX Strategist Peter Chia at UOB Group.
Key Quotes
24-hour view: We highlighted yesterday that NZD “could dip to 0.5880, but any decline is likely part of a lower trading range of 0.5880/0.5930.” NZD then traded in a slightly lower range than expected (0.5871/0.5922) before closing largely unchanged at 0.5913 (+0.08%). NZD is likely to continue to range trade, even though the underlying tone has firmed a tad, and this suggests a higher range of 0.5895/0.5950.
Next 1-3 weeks: Two days ago (03 Oct, spot at 0.5945), we held the view that NZD “is likely to weaken, but any decline is likely to face strong support at 0.5880.” Yesterday, NZD dipped briefly to a low of 0.5871 and then rebounded. Downward momentum has not improved, but there is a chance for NZD to test September’s low of 0.5860 before the risk of a more sustained and robust rebound increases. However, if NZD breaks above 0.5970 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level from yesterday), it would indicate that it is not weakening further.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.