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Leader of the House Andrea Leadsom confirms tomorrow's motion is tabled and it is crucial

The leader of the House Andrea Leadsom has made a statement in Parliament and is confirming that a debate on Friday ‘will not be a meaningful vote on a deal' and has said it is crucial that the UK does not need to go back for a further extension so that the UK can leave on the 22nd May 2019 nor participate in the EU elections. 

  • UK House Speaker Bercow accepted 'New Vote on Brexit Deal'.
  • Motion covers Withdrawal Agreement only.
  • Can't be voted on again, even in part and if it fails, UK, by default, will be on course to falling out of EU on 12th April without a deal.

However, analysts at Standard Chartered have pointed out, if the PM wins MV3, this only marks the start of a process to get it implemented via legislation:

"It is not guaranteed that MPs who supported the meaningful vote would also support primary legislation..."

Process if MV3 passes:

The analysts explained the process if MV3 passes, primary legislation then comes as follows:

 "If, and when Prime Minister (PM) Theresa May attempts to bring her Brexit deal back before parliament for a third meaningful vote (MV3), it still looks doubtful whether it would pass given the current parliamentary arithmetic she is facing.

However, if it did make it through parliament, it is worth remembering that this would only be the start of a process to get the Withdrawal Agreement (WA) implemented via legislation.

As Figure 1 shows below, once the motion on any deal is passed by parliament, the UK government will need to propose and pass primary legislation (which also requires parliamentary support) to enshrine elements of the WA in UK law."

"There is a clear risk that some MPs have not fully scrutinised what is contained within the WA agreed between the UK and EU. Once legislation is laid in parliament by the government, and it comes under intense parliamentary scrutiny (in both the House of Commons and House of Lords), there could be elements of the WA, hitherto not considered in too much detail, which become highly contentious; for example, while the Irish backstop issue has been closely scrutinised so far, areas such as the UK’s divorce settlement and the status of Gibraltar have received correspondingly less attention in recent weeks and months."

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