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Gold recovers by $10 from session lows as put demand weakens

  • Gold is regaining poise with options market suggesting a weakening of demand for puts. 
  • Friday's engulfing pattern has made Monday's close pivotal.

Gold is trimming gains with the options market signaling a weakening of demand for the put options or bearish bets. 

The yellow metal is currently trading at $1,495 per Oz, representing a 0.30% loss on the day, having printed a session low of $1,483 in early Asia. 

Investors sold gold with the Asian stocks early Monday as fears of a coronavirus-led recession were bolstered by the US Senate's failure to advance the coronavirus rescue package. 

Risk reversals recover from five-year lows

One-month risk reversals, a gauge of calls to puts, rose to -1.70 on Friday from Thursday's print of -4.5.

The sharp uptick represents a weakening of demand or a drop in the implied volatility premium for the put options. The metal looks to have found a temporary bottom if the options market data is anything to go by.

Focus on Monday's close

Gold carved out a bullish engulfing candle on Friday, validating the oversold conditions signaled by the 14-day relative strength index and making Monday's close pivotal.

A close above Friday's high of $1,516 would confirm a bullish reversal candlestick pattern and open the doors for a notable recovery rally. Alternatively, a close under Friday's low of $1,455.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1495.75
Today Daily Change -3.31
Today Daily Change % -0.22
Today daily open 1499.06
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1596.02
Daily SMA50 1582.85
Daily SMA100 1535.3
Daily SMA200 1503.19
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1516.19
Previous Daily Low 1455.54
Previous Weekly High 1561
Previous Weekly Low 1451.3
Previous Monthly High 1689.4
Previous Monthly Low 1547.56
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1493.02
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1478.71
Daily Pivot Point S1 1464.34
Daily Pivot Point S2 1429.61
Daily Pivot Point S3 1403.69
Daily Pivot Point R1 1524.99
Daily Pivot Point R2 1550.91
Daily Pivot Point R3 1585.64

 

 

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