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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD extends recovery above $1,910 after US Core PCE

  • The US dollar weakened following consumer inflation data.
  • DXY drops 0.4%, retreating from two-week highs. 
  • XAU/USD reached its highest level in three days.

Gold prices are having their best day in weeks on Friday, boosted by a decline in the US dollar across the board. XAU/USD jumped from near $1,905 to $1,920 following the release of the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index.

The consumption inflation figures showed a decline slightly higher than expected and triggered a retreat in US yields and boosted equity and commodity prices. The US Core PCE fell in May to 4.6% on an annual basis from 4.7%, while the headline dropped from 4.6% to 3.8%.

These figures softened Federal Reserve rate hike expectations for the next meeting. The focus now turns to next week's US labor market data, which includes the ADP, Jobless Claims (Thursday), and the Nonfarm Payrolls report (Friday).

XAU/USD rebounding

XAU/USD is hovering around $1,915, up less than $10 but enough to make it the best day in weeks. The recovery took place after reaching a low on Thursday at $1,892, the lowest level in three months.

On the upside, XAU/USD is breaking a short-term downtrend line. The next resistance area is $1,920. On the downside, a decline below $1,905 would weaken the short-term outlook for the yellow metal.

Technical levels 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1916.49
Today Daily Change 8.29
Today Daily Change % 0.43
Today daily open 1908.2
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1940.32
Daily SMA50 1970.36
Daily SMA100 1943.91
Daily SMA200 1858.19
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1913.17
Previous Daily Low 1893.01
Previous Weekly High 1958.85
Previous Weekly Low 1910.18
Previous Monthly High 2079.76
Previous Monthly Low 1932.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1905.47
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1900.71
Daily Pivot Point S1 1896.42
Daily Pivot Point S2 1884.63
Daily Pivot Point S3 1876.26
Daily Pivot Point R1 1916.58
Daily Pivot Point R2 1924.95
Daily Pivot Point R3 1936.74

 

 

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