Gold: Low real interest rates are here to stay, supporting XAU/USD – ANZ
|US 10y yield is holding above 1% while XAU/USD is trading around $1,850/oz. The rising US 10y yield and the outperformance of risky assets have weighed on the safe haven appeal of gold. Recent strength in the USD has created headwinds for the precious metals market. However, rising inflation expectations should provide some support in the medium-term, strategists at ANZ Bank appraise.
Key quotes
“The rising US 10y yield and the risk-on tone of the market have been subduing investor interest in gold for the past few months. Talks around tapering of asset purchases by the central banks have also dented market sentiment.”
“We believe gold remains a relevant risk-diversifier amid rising inflation expectations and expensive equity market valuation. The rise in real interest rates looks constrained this year, as the Fed has signalled that its accommodative stance will continue. This should keep the backdrop benign for gold prices.”
“A sustained outperformance of silver over gold is unlikely to continue after the recent silver price rally. We see the upside contained at $30/oz.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.