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Fed's Mester & Barkin: Fed needs more evidence economy is progressing as expected

Federal Reserve (Fed) of Cleveland President Loretta Mester gave her perspective on the Fed rate outlook during a televised interview with Bloomberg.

Mester was closely followed by Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin, who broadly reiterated Mester's stance on Fed rates.

Key highlights

Cleveland Fed President Mester:

  • Fed is not "there" yet on rate cuts, want more evidence that economy is progressing as expected.
  • Fed's current evaluation is for how much longer rates to be kept high, policy kept restrictive.
  • Inflation has to be coming down on a "sustainable basis" before rate cut conversation can happen.
  • Fed needs to calibrate policy to achieve a soft landing.
  • Slowdown of QT is not imminent, but Fed will have to begin discussing it this year.

Richmond Fed President Barkin:

  • Needs to be "convinced" that inflation is headed to target.
  • Will be open to lowering rates once inflation is on track to 2%.
  • Banks likely want to hold more liquidity than prior to the pandemic.

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