EUR/USD to challenge the 1.15 support as ECB maintains policy patience – Westpac
|The European Central Bank (ECB) sees inflation pressures as transitory and have indicated that the next “live” meeting is in December. Rising inflationary data may pressure EUR/USD to breach 1.15, economists at Westpac report.
Supply costs and labour constraints are hampering activity
“Core members of ECB have recently underscored their desire to avoid any premature withdrawal of accommodation and have also stressed that current upside inflationary pressures are mostly transitory. By stressing this, they have effectively pushed back on any potential for early ‘recalibration’ of either the PEPP (due to end in late Q1) and APP at least until the staff projections are updated in December.”
“A distinct waning in survey data of late while inflation reads have remained high has highlighted that supply costs and labour constraints are hampering activity. This should increase attention on flash Oct PMIs.”
“The cautious stance of ECB puts it at the dovish end of the shifts in global CBs towards tapering or hiking and is likely to cap any EUR/USD rebounds and sustain pressure on 1.15 support.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.