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EUR/USD remains supported above 100-DMA ahead of Lagarde, FOMC

  • EUR/USD stuck in a narrow range ahead of the FOMC decision. 
  • Lagarde’s speech also eyed, as the Fed is likely to hold fire.
  • Higher DXY and Treasury yields weigh on the spot.

EUR/USD is holding the lower ground below 1.2100 but remains well above the 100-DMA support at 1.2056 ahead of ECB President Lagarde’s speech and the all-important FOMC decision.

The US dollar tracks the resurgent demand in the Treasury yields, weighing on the main currency pair. The cautious sentiment around the global stocks amid growing covid concerns in emerging economies and doubts over US President Joe Biden’s $2.25 trillion infrastructure stimulus package underpin greenback’s safe-haven demand.

Bloomberg reported earlier on, “President Joe Biden and his economic team are planning to forgo an expansion of the estate tax in the administration’s coming individual tax-hike proposals.” 

Upbeat US CB Consumer Confidence data fuelled the rally in the Treasury yields, which lifted the dollar. The index rose in April to 121.7 from 109.0 in March, beating expectations by a big margin. Meanwhile, the stocks traded mixed, shrugging off encouraging earnings.

On the EUR side of the story, the euro remains uninspired by the German government’s upward revision to the economy’s 2021 growth forecasts, as surging covid cases outweigh.

“This Wednesday, Germany will publish the May GFK Consumer Confidence Survey, foreseen at -3.5 from -6.2 previously. In the US, the focus will be on the Federal Reserve, as the central bank will announce its decision on monetary policy,” explains FXStreet’s Chief Analyst, Valeria Bednarik.

“No surprises are expected this time, although investors expect chief Jerome Powell to acknowledge the improvement in the employment sector and hence, offer a more hawkish speech.  Tightening will likely remain off the table,” Valeria adds.

EUR/USD technical levels

FXStreet’s Analyst Anil Panchal notes, “an ascending support line from March 31, near 1.2065 will test the short-term EUR/USD declines ahead of the key 100-day SMA level near 1.2055. Alternatively, an upside clearance of the stated resistance line close to 1.2115 should successfully cross the monthly top of 1.2116 before directing the run-up towards the 1.2200 thresholds.”

EUR/USD additional levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2077
Today Daily Change -0.0012
Today Daily Change % -0.10
Today daily open 1.209
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.1941
Daily SMA50 1.1955
Daily SMA100 1.2056
Daily SMA200 1.1936
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2093
Previous Daily Low 1.2057
Previous Weekly High 1.21
Previous Weekly Low 1.1943
Previous Monthly High 1.2113
Previous Monthly Low 1.1704
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2079
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2071
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2067
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2044
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.203
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2103
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2116
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2139

 

 

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