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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Holds below the mid-1.0900s, bullish outlook remains intact

  • EUR/USD loses ground around 1.0940 on the rebound of USD. 
  • The pair keeps the bullish vibe above the key EMA; RSI momentum indicator lies above the 50-midline. 
  • The immediate resistance level will emerge at 1.0955; the key support level is located at the 1.0910–1.0915 zone. 

The EUR/USD pair trades on a weaker note below the mid-1.0900s during the early European session on Thursday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key event on the US docket. The US February Retail Sales will be released, which is estimated to show an increase of 0.8% MoM. Furthermore, the dovish remarks from the ECB policymakers this week also weigh the Euro (EUR) against the US Dollar (USD). The major pair currently trades near 1.0940, down 0.07% on the day. 

Technically, the bullish outlook of EUR/USD remains intact as the major pair is above the key 50- and 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) with an upward slope on the four-hour chart. The upward momentum is also supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which stands in bullish territory above the 50-midline, indicating that further upside looks favorable. 

The immediate resistance level for the major pair will emerge near the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band at 1.0955. The next hurdle is located at a high of March 8 at 1.0981. Further north, the upside target to watch is a psychological level and a high of January 11 at 1.1000, en route to a high of December 22 at 1.1040.

On the downside, the key support level for a major pair is seen at the confluence of the 50-period EMA and the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at the 1.0910–1.0915 region. The next contention level to watch is the 100-period EMA and round figure at 1.0900. A break below the latter will see a drop to a high of February 29 at 1.0855, followed by a low of February 22 at 1.0800. 

EUR/USD four-hour chart 

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.094
Today Daily Change -0.0007
Today Daily Change % -0.06
Today daily open 1.0947
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0854
Daily SMA50 1.0854
Daily SMA100 1.0852
Daily SMA200 1.0837
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0964
Previous Daily Low 1.092
Previous Weekly High 1.0981
Previous Weekly Low 1.0838
Previous Monthly High 1.0898
Previous Monthly Low 1.0695
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0947
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0937
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0924
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.09
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.088
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0968
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0988
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1011

 

 

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