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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Euro bears attack golden Fibonacci ratio on the way to 1.0700

  • EUR/USD grinds at the lowest levels in two months.
  • Oversold RSI conditions, key Fibonacci ratio challenges Euro sellers amid sluggish session.
  • 21-EMA, previous support line from March restrict short-term rebound.

EUR/USD licks its wounds at the lowest levels since late March amid lackluster markets heading into Thursday’s European session, mildly offered near 1.0735 by the press time.

In doing so, the Euro pair justifies the previous day’s clear downside break of 10-week-old horizontal support, now immediate resistance near 1.0760.

However, the oversold RSI (14) line joins the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s March-April upside, near 1.0735, to challenge the EUR/USD bears.

In a case where the Euro sellers manage to conquer the key Fibonacci retracement, also known as the golden Fibonacci ratio, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the mid-March swing low of around 1.0516 can’t be ruled out. It should be observed that the 1.0700 and 1.0600 round figures may act as intermediate halts during the likely fall.

On the contrary, EUR/USD recovery can initially aim for the previous support line from mid-March, close to 1.0760, before challenging the 21-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) hurdle of around 1.0780.

Following that, an upward-sloping trend line from March 21, previous support near 1.0840, may act as the last defense of the EUR/USD bears.

Overall, EUR/USD is likely to remain pressured but the bears need a pause to gather strength.

EUR/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Corrective bounce expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1.074
Today Daily Change -0.0010
Today Daily Change % -0.09%
Today daily open 1.075
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0916
Daily SMA50 1.09
Daily SMA100 1.0813
Daily SMA200 1.0476
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0801
Previous Daily Low 1.0748
Previous Weekly High 1.0904
Previous Weekly Low 1.076
Previous Monthly High 1.1095
Previous Monthly Low 1.0788
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0769
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0781
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0731
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0713
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0678
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0784
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0819
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0837

 

 

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