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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bears attack two-month-old support near 1.0540 to keep the reins

  • EUR/USD bears take a breather after posting the biggest daily slump since late September 2022.
  • Failure to cross a fortnight-long horizontal resistance joins bearish MACD signals to favor Euro sellers.
  • Upward-sloping support line from early January 2023 appears the last defense of EUR/USD buyers.
  • Bulls need validation from 200-SMA to retake control.

 

EUR/USD remains pressured around the lowest levels in a week, making rounds to 1.0550-45 after falling the most in nearly 3.5 months the previous day. That said, the major currency pair snapped a two-day winning streak while posting a U-turn from the 13-day-long horizontal hurdle, as well as pleasing the bears, the previous day.

Not only the quote’s U-turn from the short-term key horizontal resistance, around 1.0690-700 but the bearish MACD signals and sustained trading below the 200-SMA also keeps the EUR/USD sellers hopeful.

That said, an upward-sloping support line from early January, currently around 1.0540, appears the immediate challenge for the Euro bears to tackle.

Following that, the previous monthly low surrounding 1.0530 may act as an intermediate halt during the fall towards the January 2023 bottom of 1.0483.

In a case where EUR/USD remains bearish past 1.0483, a late December 2022 trough near 1.0445 could act as an extra downside filter.

On the flip side, a clear break of the aforementioned horizontal hurdle near 1.0690-700 becomes necessary to convince the Euro buyers.

Even so, the 200-bar Simple Moving Average (SMA), close to 1.0735 by the press time, could act as a validation point for the EUR/USD pair’s further advances.

EUR/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1.0549
Today Daily Change -0.0128
Today Daily Change % -1.20%
Today daily open 1.0677
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0661
Daily SMA50 1.0728
Daily SMA100 1.0504
Daily SMA200 1.0328
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0694
Previous Daily Low 1.0622
Previous Weekly High 1.0692
Previous Weekly Low 1.0533
Previous Monthly High 1.1033
Previous Monthly Low 1.0533
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0667
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.065
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0635
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0593
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0563
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0707
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0737
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0779

 

 

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