Brexit: Rest of the year will be characterised by high uncertainty and high tensions - Rabobank
|"The EU and the UK reached an agreement on a draft deal on 13 November," note Rabobank analysts.
Key quotes
"The Irish conundrum has been solved by keeping the UK in a Customs Union with the EU and Northern Ireland aligned with parts of the EU Single Market legislation for goods. The UK could also stay longer in the transition period, something a Joint Committee in which both the EU and UK are represented will decide."
"The timing is positive news as it leaves more time than expected for getting the deal through the UK Parliament. However, given the diffuse and sometimes fluid positions on Brexit in the UK Parliament getting the deal approved will be very challenging."
"PM May could first have to overcome a possible leadership challenge. The rest of the year will be characterised by high uncertainty and high tensions. We consider that the deal can be ratified by 29 March 2019, but we also see the chances of a ‘hard Brexit’ almost as high as those of getting an orderly Brexit."
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.