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AUD/USD struggles to cheer above-forecast Aussie inflation data

  • AUD/USD adds just 7 pips on upbeat Aussie inflation data. 
  • Both the headline and the trimmed-mean CPI bettered estimates. 
  • Markets like to continue scaling back rate February cut expectations. 

AUD/USD is having a tough time putting on a good show despite the above-forecast Australian inflation data for the month of December. 

The headline inflation, as represented by the consumer price index (CPI), which was forecasted to remain steady at 1.7% year-on-year, rose to 1.8% in December. Meanwhile, the trimmed mean core CPI remained steady at 1.6% year-on-year, beating the forecasted drop to 1.5%. 

On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the trimmed mean held steady at 0.4% and the headline CPI rose to 0.7% from 0.5%, beating the expected print of 0.6%. 

So far, the AUD/USD pair has managed to add just seven pips on the upbeat data. At press time, the pair is trading at 0.6768. 

With inflation beating estimates, markets may continue to price out the prospects of an RBA rate cut in February. Ahead of the CPI report, the market was pricing a 30%
probability of a rate cut next month. The odds dropped sharply from 60% to 30% following the last week's upbeat inflation data. 

The AUD/USD, therefore, could pick up a strong bid during the day ahead - more so, if the equities show signs of life. The AUD has faced selling pressure over the last few days on Cornovirus-led risk aversion in the financial markets. 

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6768
Today Daily Change 0.0005
Today Daily Change % 0.07
Today daily open 0.6758
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6881
Daily SMA50 0.6869
Daily SMA100 0.6842
Daily SMA200 0.6875
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6766
Previous Daily Low 0.6736
Previous Weekly High 0.6889
Previous Weekly Low 0.6817
Previous Monthly High 0.7033
Previous Monthly Low 0.6762
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6747
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6755
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6741
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6723
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6711
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6771
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6783
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6801

 

 

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