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AUD/USD rallies to nearly two-week high, around 0.6625-30 area ahead of US NFP report

  • AUD/USD scales higher for the second straight day and jumps to a nearly two-week high.
  • Reduced bets for another 25 bps Fed rate hike in June continue to weigh on the Greenback.
  • A positive risk tone further benefits the risk-sensitive Aussie ahead of the key US NFP report.

The AUD/USD pair builds on this week's recovery from its lowest level since November 2022 and gains strong follow-through traction for the second successive day on Friday. The momentum remains uninterrupted through the first half of the European session and lifts spot prices to a nearly two-week high, around the 0.6625-0.6630 region in the last hour.

The US Dollar (USD) adds to the overnight heavy losses and remains depressed on the last day of the week, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor pushing the AUD/USD pair higher. The recent comments by a slew of influential Federal Reserve (Fed) officials forced investors to scale back their expectations for another 25 bps lift-off in June. This, along with a generally positive risk tone, drags the safe-haven buck to over a one-week low and benefits the risk-sensitive Aussie.

A private survey showed on Thursday that China’s manufacturing sector unexpectedly registered modest growth in May. Furthermore, the passage of bipartisan legislation to lift the government's $31.4 trillion debt ceiling and avert an unprecedented American default boosts investors' confidence. Apart from this, speculations that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) could tighten its monetary policy support prospects for a further appreciating move for the AUD/USD pair.

That said, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 1-hour chart is already flashing overbought conditions and acting as a headwind for spot prices. Traders might also refrain from placing aggressive bets and prefer to move to the sidelines ahead of the release of the US monthly employment details, due later during the early North American session. The popularly known NFP report will play a key role in driving the USD demand and provide some meaningful impetus to the AUD/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6627
Today Daily Change 0.0060
Today Daily Change % 0.91
Today daily open 0.6567
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6633
Daily SMA50 0.6664
Daily SMA100 0.6758
Daily SMA200 0.6696
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6582
Previous Daily Low 0.6484
Previous Weekly High 0.6668
Previous Weekly Low 0.649
Previous Monthly High 0.6818
Previous Monthly Low 0.6458
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6544
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6522
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6507
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6447
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.641
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6604
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6641
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6701

 

 

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