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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Recapturing 0.7200 is critical following hotter Australian Inflation

  • AUD/USD is holding higher ground as Australian inflation hits 20-year highs.
  • RBA May rate hike bets gain momentum amid a cautious market mood.
  • Acceptance above 0.7200 is critical to cementing a recovery from two-month lows.

AUD/USD is holding onto the rebound above 0.7150, benefiting from the increased calls for a May RBA rate hike after the Australian Q1 inflation figures outpaced expectations.

Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) accelerated 2.1% QoQ in Q1 vs. 1.7% expected and 1.3% previous. The Trimmed Mean CPI rose to 1.4% vs. 1.2% expected and 1.0% seen in Q4 2021.

The US dollar dominance keeps further upside elusive in the aussie pair. The greenback continues to draw demand on safe-haven demand, as global growth concerns and aggressive Fed rate hike bets spook investors.

Technically, AUD/USD is looking for fresh impetus to scale 0.7200 once again, having found strong bids near 0.7118.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recovered from lower levels, backing the uptick in the aussie pair.

Should bulls recapture 0.7200 on a sustained basis, then a test of Tuesday’s high of 0.7230 will be on the cards.

The 0.7250 psychological level will offer additional resistance on the road to recovery.

AUD/USD: Daily chart

On the flip side, bears need a daily closing below the 0.7118 demand area to target the 0.7100 threshold.

If the latter caves in, then a fresh downswing towards 0.7050 early February levels will be on sellers’ radars.

AUD/USD: Additional levels to consider

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.7164
Today Daily Change 0.0041
Today Daily Change % 0.58
Today daily open 0.7123
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.7415
Daily SMA50 0.7357
Daily SMA100 0.7264
Daily SMA200 0.7293
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.723
Previous Daily Low 0.7118
Previous Weekly High 0.7459
Previous Weekly Low 0.7234
Previous Monthly High 0.7541
Previous Monthly Low 0.7165
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7161
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7187
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7084
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.7045
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6972
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7196
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7269
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7308

 

 

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