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AUD/USD bears target 0.7100 as US bond yields rise amid risk aversion

  • The Australian dollar drops as the Wall Street session approaches the end, down 0.14%.
  • The US 10-year Treasury yield reclaims the 1.40% threshold, underpins the greenback.
  • AUD/USD Technical Outlook: It has a downward bias, though upside risks remain.

During the New York session, the AUD/USD edges lower, trading at 0.7111 at the time of writing. The market sentiment remains downbeat, spurred by the Omicron outbreak worldwide. The UK and some European countries reimpose social restrictions as health government offices scramble to contain the fourth wave.

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index recovers some of its losses, almost flat at 96.55, as US Treasury yields with the 10-year benchmark note, reclaim the 1.40% threshold,  up to two basis points, sitting at 1.423%.

An absent economic docket leaves the AUD/USD pair at the mercy of market sentiment and greenback’s dynamics, including political domestic developments and demand for US Treasuries.

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The AUD/USD daily chart depicts that the pair has a downward bias. The double-top formed in the month, still in play as long as the 0.7186 December swing high is decisively broken to the upside. Nevertheless, despite Australian dollar weakness across the board, Monday’s price action pierced the “neckline” around the December 14 swing low at 0.7090. However, it failed to gain follow-through, pushing the AUD/USD around 0.7111.

If USD bulls achieve to break clearly below the neckline, the first support would be the 0.7000 figure, followed by the 0.6900, and then the June 12, 2020 pivot low at 0.6799.

To the upside, the first resistance would be the December 17 daily high at 0.7184. A sustained break above that level could pave the way for further gains, with the 0.7200 figure as the next resistance, followed by the confluence of the 50 and the 100-day moving averages (DMAs) at 0.7290-0.7300 area.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.7113
Today Daily Change -0.0010
Today Daily Change % -0.14
Today daily open 0.7123
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.714
Daily SMA50 0.73
Daily SMA100 0.7303
Daily SMA200 0.7469
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.7187
Previous Daily Low 0.7123
Previous Weekly High 0.7225
Previous Weekly Low 0.709
Previous Monthly High 0.7537
Previous Monthly Low 0.7063
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7147
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7163
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7102
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.708
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.7038
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7166
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7208
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.723

 

 

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