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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: 61.8% Fibonacci, 200-bar SMA in focus

  • AUD/JPY extends losses amid bearish MACD signals.
  • Buyers will look for entry beyond the three-week-old falling trend line.

AUD/JPY declines to 75.70 during the initial Asian session on Monday. That said, the pair has been weaker since taking a U-turn from 76.25 on late-Thursday. The sellers also cheer bearish signals from the 12-bar MACD indicator.

As a result, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s declines from December 27 to January 08, at 75.50, gains the bears’ immediate attention. However, 200-bar SMA and highs marked on January 03 and 07 could restrict pair’s further downside around 75.27/25.

If at all AUD/JPY prices keep trading southwards past-75.25, 75.00 and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement near 74.40 will be in the spotlight.

On the upside, a downward sloping trend line since December 27, near 76.25 now, will keep the pair’ under pressure, a break of which could fresh monthly high to 76.55.

AUD/JPY four hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 75.71
Today Daily Change -0.03
Today Daily Change % -0.04%
Today daily open 75.74
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 75.71
Daily SMA50 74.94
Daily SMA100 74.25
Daily SMA200 74.78
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 76.17
Previous Daily Low 75.71
Previous Weekly High 76.25
Previous Weekly Low 75.56
Previous Monthly High 77.45
Previous Monthly Low 73.82
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 75.88
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 75.99
Daily Pivot Point S1 75.58
Daily Pivot Point S2 75.41
Daily Pivot Point S3 75.12
Daily Pivot Point R1 76.04
Daily Pivot Point R2 76.33
Daily Pivot Point R3 76.5

 

 

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