AUD: Holding up despite a wave of external negativity - ING
|"While AUD/USD had been flirting with a possible test of the psychological 0.70 level, it appears that investors aren't quite ready to throw the kitchen sink when it comes to chasing the Aussie dollar lower," argue ING analysts.
Key quotes
"Arguably, a lot of bad news is already priced in - and on the margin, some stability in the CNY and whispers of US-China trade talks resuming are helping to provide support. What's not is probably the broader sell-off in global stock markets - which is likely to keep high-beta currencies like the AUD in check. While we're slightly surprised not to see a bigger initial move lower in AUD/USD on the back of a shaky few days in global markets - a more pronounced and sustained stock market rout would likely weigh on the AUD. On the flipside, China not being named a currency manipulator by the US Treasury and solid 3Q China GDP (Fri) could be small positives for the AUD."
"The domestic newsflow has been relatively quiet of late - although the week ahead does see the Sep jobs report (Thu) and Oct RBA meeting minutes (Tue). Markets will be looking for back-to-back solid employment growth (prior +40k) to corroborate the RBA's positive outlook on the labour market. The central bank's policy message has been pretty neutral - which is adequately priced into the AUD OIS curve - and Governor Lowe didn't give much away in his recent comments. Indeed, the most interesting headlines that crossed the wires was the RBA chief's endorsement of a strong US dollar - which probably didn't go down to well in the White House (if they were paying attention)."
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.