US Data – CPI lighter, Weekly Claims better
|USD/JPY, H1
US September CPI was flat, and the core was up 0.1%, both a little shy of estimates, following unrevised gains of 0.1% and 0.3%, respectively. The 12-month headline and core rates were steady at 1.7% y/y and 2.4% y/y, with the latter holding above the Fed’s 2% target (though the PCE is the favoured indicator). Energy costs were down -1.4% following the 1.9% prior slide, with gasoline off -2.4%. Used car prices dropped 1.6%. Food prices dipped 0.1% and apparel fell -0.4%. Pressure on prices remains elusive.
Meanwhile, US initial jobless claims dropped 10k to 210k in the week ended October 5, surprising forecasts for a rise, after increasing 5k to 220k previously (revised from 219k). That’s stronger than expected despite the UAW strike in its 4th week. The 4-week moving average edged up to 213.75k from 212.75k (revised from 212.5k). Continuing claims climbed 29k to 1,684k in the September 28 week after slipping 1k to 1,655k (revised from 1,651k).
Initial reaction from the Dollar was a dip after the cooler CPI outcome, seeing USDJPY slip briefly to 107.37 from near 107.50, and EURUSD trade over 1.1030 from under 1.1025. USDJPY has since recovered to test 107.60 but is capped at R1 and 107.75 with support at S1 and 107.00 ahead of Day One of the latest round of high level US-China trade talks, which has all eyes on Washington DC.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.