Analysis

Timing the Exit in the USD/CAD Fierce March Higher

We’ve discussed the loonie on Friday, just when the pair spiked higher. What has happened with our profitable open position since then? Have the bulls been able to add to their gains even more?

These were our Friday’s observations:

(…) Yesterday brought us verification of the breakout above the declining purple trend channel, suggesting that higher values of USD/CAD are just around the corner.

Should we see the pair rise from here, the first target for the bulls will be the last week’s peak and then the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (at around 1.3232).

The situation indeed developed in tune with the above, and USD/CAD overcame not only the late-Oct high, but also the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, making our long positions even more profitable.

Despite the pair pulling back yesterday, the bulls managed to keep the price action above the previously broken retracements . This suggests that yesterday’s drop could be nothing more than verification of the earlier breakout.

Should it be the case, the way to the 50% Fibonacci retracement (based on the entire May-July decline) or even the upper border of the declining red trend channel may be open.

 


 

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