Analysis

Global growth losing steam

Market movers ahead

  • The market will monitor incoming opinion polls ahead of the second round of the French Presidential election.

  • The FOMC is set to meet on Wednesday. We do not expect major changes in monetary policy or the statement.

  • We expect the US labour market report to show employment gains of 170,000 in April.

  • We look for small declines in April's Chinese manufacturing PMI and the US ISM manufacturing indices due for publication next week.

  • FX reserve data is due in Denmark and Norges Bank is set to meet next week. We do not expect major changes in either announcement though.

 

Global macro and market themes

  • Markets are less worried about France, as Emmanuel Macron is the clear favourite against Marine Le Pen.

  • Do not get overexcited about Trumponomics.

  • With markets less worried about political uncertainty in Europe, focus may soon return to economics.

  • We do not expect much action at next week's Fed meeting.

  • The rising risk from North Korea is a joker.

 

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