Stocks will open lower, but bulls may regain the ground
|Stocks remained above their previous low on Friday, and today they are expected to open much lower. Will the downtrend continue?
The S&P 500 index gained 0.08% and it closed at 4,662.85 on Friday after bouncing from the daily low of 4,614.75. The broad stock market’s gauge remained above its Jan. 10 local low of 4,582.24. It continues to trade within an over two-month long consolidation. Late December – early January consolidation along the 4,800 level was a topping pattern and the index fell to its previous trading range. This morning the market is expected to open 0.9% lower so we may see an attempt at breaking below the 4,600 level.
The nearest important resistance level is at around 4,680-4,700. On the other hand, the support level is at 4,580-4,600, marked by the recent local low. The S&P 500 is still trading within a medium-term consolidation, as we can see on the daily chart:
Nasdaq 100 bounced from 16,000 resistance level
The technology Nasdaq 100 index remains relatively weaker than the broad stock market. On Jan. 10 it fell to the local low of 15,165.53. The Nasdaq 100 was almost 1600 points or 9.5% below the Nov. 22 record high of 16,764.85. Last week it bounced from the 16,000 level and it went closer to the local low again. It still trades along the September’s local high, as we can see on the daily chart:
Apple extends its consolidation
Recently, Apple stock broke below its two-month long upward trend line after reaching the new record high of $182.94. So far, it looks like a downward correction and the nearest important support level is at $165-170, marked by the previous highs and lows. The stock trades within an over month-long consolidation of around $170-180.
Is this a medium-term topping pattern? It’s getting very hard to fundamentally justify the Apple’s current market capitalization of around $3 trillion.
Conclusion
The S&P 500 index is expected to open 0.9% lower this morning following global stock markets’ weakness amid Russia-Ukraine tensions and worse-than-expected economic data releases. So the market will get close to the recent local lows and the support level of around 4,580-4,600 again. There have been no confirmed short-term positive signals so far. However, we may see another intraday rebound later in the day. The quarterly earnings releases remain a bullish factor for stocks.
Here’s the breakdown:
-
The S&P 500 will likely get back to the 4,600 level this morning; later we may see another intraday rebound.
-
In our opinion no positions are currently justified from the risk/reward point of view.
Want free follow-ups to the above article and details not available to 99%+ investors? Sign up to our free newsletter today!
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.