Analysis

Gold powers towards record high, NEM closed last gap, what's ahead?

Fundamentally and technically there is plenty of upside in gold and miners. Here are a few charts to consider.

Gold chart courtesy of StockCharts.Com annotations by Mish

Gold has been on a tear. No, it's not due to Russia. It's best thought of as a measure of faith in central banks, especially the Fed.

Technically speaking, gold broke out of a nearly two-year correction. The price of gold in US dollars is now higher than it's been except for about 10 days in August of 2020. 

Newmont Mining at Record High

Newmont Mining (NEM) chart courtesy of StockCharts.Com annotations by Mish

Newmont Mining closed the last two of its unfilled gaps then powered to a new record high, blasting through resistance at the peak. 

Gaps occur when a stock opens below the lowest point of the preceding day or above the highest point of the previous day, then stays there for the day. 

I expected those gaps on NEM to close and now it's what many consider "blue skies", that is no above resistance.

AEM Two Open Gaps

Agnico Eagle (AEM) chart courtesy of StockCharts.Com annotations by Mish

AEM another major tier mining company has two unfilled gaps. If gold continues higher, those gaps will fill. 

GDXJ Junior Miners Two Open Gaps

GDXJ junior miners chart courtesy of StockCharts.Com annotations by Mish

Junior miners have lagged Newmont and the price of gold. They offer a higher risk-reward profile than a company like NEM.

However, if gold continues higher, those gaps will fill too. 

What About the Dollar?

 

GDXJ junior miners chart courtesy of StockCharts.Com annotations by Mish

It's an old wives tale, widely believe but false, that gold follows the US dollar. In the very short term, gold frequently does. However, the idea is noticeably wrong on a long-term basis.

More About Gaps 

  • Feb 7, 2022: Newmont Mining Looks Poised to Close Two Open Gaps
  • Feb 17, 2022: Newmont Mining Corporation, One Gap Left to Fill, And it Will.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.


RELATED CONTENT

Loading ...



Copyright © 2024 FOREXSTREET S.L., All rights reserved.