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Analysis

GDX found sellers as expected from blue box area

In this technical blog, we will look at the past performance of the 1-hour Elliott Wave Charts of the Gold miners ETF ticker symbol: GDX. In which, the decline from the 24 October 2024 high is unfolding in a corrective sequence. Also showed a lower low sequence with a bearish sequence stamp. Therefore, we knew that the structure in GDX is incomplete to the downside & should see more weakness. So, we advised members to sell the bounces in 3, 7, or 11 swings at the blue box areas. We will explain the structure & forecast below:

GDX one-hour Elliott Wave chart from 1.10.2025

Here’s the 1-hour Elliott wave Chart from the 1.10.2025 Midday update.  In which, the decline to $33.42 low ended wave A of (Y) & made a bounce in wave B of (Y). The internals of that bounce unfolded as an Elliott wave zigzag correction. And managed to reach the blue box area towards $36.65- $37.98 blue box area. From there, sellers were expected to appear looking for more downside or for a 3 wave reaction lower at least.

GDX latest one-hour Elliott Wave chart from 1.14.2025

This is the Latest 1-hour view from the 1.14.2025 Post-Market update. In which the ETF is showing a reaction lower taking place from the blue box area allowing shorts to get into a risk-free position shortly after taking the position. However, a break below the $33.42 low would still be needed to confirm the next extension lower & avoid a double correction higher. Now, as far as bounces fail below $36.90 high GDX is expected to resume the downside. Ideally towards $29.39- $27.07 target area lower minimum before a bounce happens.

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