Analysis

GBP/USD Forex Signal

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered as there was no bearish price action at 1.2923.

Today’s GBP/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades must be entered before 5pm London time today only.

Long Trade

  • Go long following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 1.2828.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 25 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 25 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Short Trade

  • Go short following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 1.3000.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 25 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 25 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

GBP/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday there should still be some medium-term bearish pressure weighing the price down, but if the price could get established above 1.2923 as the London session got underway, that would be a mildly bullish sign. It was likely to be the day’s pivotal level. That wasn’t a bad call as the price spiked above it but immediately reversed back below, and then continued to move down, o the level was pivotal.

The medium-term bearish trend continues, and the Pound is now looking weaker than the Euro, which is a bearish sign for this pair. I see the support at 1.2828 as likely to be the pivotal level today and would take a bearish bias if the price trades below it for a couple of hours.

There is nothing of high importance due today regarding the GBP. Concerning the USD, there will be releases of Retail Sales and PPI data at 1:30pm London time.

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