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Analysis

GBP/USD bullish ABC zigzag aiming at Fibonacci resistance

  • GBP/USD has made a bullish bounce at the 144-233 ema support zone. The higher low and higher high have launched a bullish breakout. 

  • The GBP/USD seems to have completed multiple wave 5s at the recent top. The 5 wave decline (purple) only supports this wave outlook.

  • On the 1 hour chart, price completed a 5 wave pattern (purple) in wave A (red). Now a bullish ABC pattern could take the price up higher. 

The bullish trend channel is now the key factor for more upside. Let’s review the 4 and 1 hour charts.

Price charts and technical analysis

The GBP/USD seems to have completed multiple wave 5s at the recent top. The 5 wave decline (purple) only supports this wave outlook. Let’s review the key zones and patterns:

  1. The bearish 5 waves completed a wave A (red). 

  2. A larger bearish ABC (red) pattern is expected.

  3. The push up is probably an ABC (purple) within wave B (red).

  4. This ABC pattern remains valid as long as price stays below the top (red circle).

  5. A break (dotted orange) below the support line (green) of the uptrend channel indicates an early bearish bounce at the 38.2% Fib (yellow circle).

  6. A break above the 38.2% Fib confirms a deeper bullish break towards the Fibonacci retracement levels. 

On the 1 hour chart, price completed a 5 wave pattern (purple) in wave A (red). Now a bullish ABC pattern could take the price up higher. 

  1. A bearish breakout below the support line (green) indicates a deeper retracement (yellow circle).

  2. A break below the bottom indicates that the ABC (purple) pattern is completed sooner than expected (red circle).

  3. A bounce at the support zone (green box) indicates a push up towards the Fibonacci confluence.


The analysis has been done with the ecs.SWAT method and ebook.

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