Analysis

EURUSD: Stalling below 1.0800

EUR/USD

Stalling below 1.0800.

  • EUR/USD is pushing higher ahead of the ECB meeting next Thursday. Hourly resistance is given at 1.0796 (05/12/2016 high). Support can be found at 1.0506 (05/12/2016 low). Bearish pressures seem to increase around 1.0800. Expected to show further weakness.

  • In the longer term, the death cross indicates a further bearish bias despite the pair has increased since last December. Key resistance holds at 1.1714 (24/08/2015 high). Strong support given at 1.0458 (16/03/2015 low) is on target.

 

GBP/USD

Bouncing back.

  • GBP/USD is bouncing back from hourly resistance at 1.2771 (05/10/2016 high). Hourly support is given at 1.2302 (18/11/2016 low). Expected to show renewed pressures towards resistance at 1.2771.

  • The long-term technical pattern is even more negative since the Brexit vote has paved the way for further decline. Long-term support given at 1.0520 (01/03/85) represents a decent target. Long-term resistance is given at 1.5018 (24/06/2015) and would indicate a long-term reversal in the negative trend. Yet, it is very unlikely at the moment.

 

USD/JPY

Increasing towards resistance at 114.87.

  • USD/JPY's bullish momentum is definitely on. The pair is now monitoring strong resistance given at 114.87 (16/02/2016 high). Hourly support is given around 111.36 (28/11/2016 low). Stronger support lies at 108.56 (17/11/2016 low). Expected to see another upside move

  • We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support is now given at 96.57 (10/08/2013 low). A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 135.15 (01/02/2002 high) seems absolutely unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 93.79 (13/06/2013 low).

 

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