fxs_header_sponsor_anchor

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Extra losses seen on a breach of 1.2040

Get 50% off on Premium Subscribe to Premium

You have reached your limit of 5 free articles for this month.

Get all exclusive analysis, access our analysis and get Gold and signals alerts

Elevate your trading Journey.

coupon

Your coupon code

UPGRADE

  • EUR/USD regains the smile following Wednesday’s pullback.
  • The mid-1.2000s have so far emerged as decent support.
  • Investors’ focus remains on US inflation and higher yields.

EUR/USD manages to regain some composure following Wednesday’s marked pullback, with decent contention so far emerging in the 1.2050 region, area coincident with a Fibo level of the November-January rally.

Higher-than-expected US inflation figures in April fuelled the upside in US yields and propped up the noticeable advance in the greenback on Wednesday, motivating investors to leave behind the post-Payrolls adjustment.

However, the perseverant dovish message from the Federal Reserve plus the relentless recovery in the Old Continent coupled with the firmer pace of the vaccination campaign still remains a source of potential upside in EUR/USD for the time being.

Short-term Outlook

The continuation of the leg lower is expected to meet initial and interim support around the 100-day SMA, today at 1.2042. A clear breach of this contention area is seen putting the psychological support at 1.2000 back on the radar ahead of the so far May low at 1.1985 (May 5). On the upside, bulls need to regain monthly peaks in the 1.2180/90 band to allow for the resumption of the uptrend and a potential visit to the 1.2200 mark and beyond.

  • EUR/USD regains the smile following Wednesday’s pullback.
  • The mid-1.2000s have so far emerged as decent support.
  • Investors’ focus remains on US inflation and higher yields.

EUR/USD manages to regain some composure following Wednesday’s marked pullback, with decent contention so far emerging in the 1.2050 region, area coincident with a Fibo level of the November-January rally.

Higher-than-expected US inflation figures in April fuelled the upside in US yields and propped up the noticeable advance in the greenback on Wednesday, motivating investors to leave behind the post-Payrolls adjustment.

However, the perseverant dovish message from the Federal Reserve plus the relentless recovery in the Old Continent coupled with the firmer pace of the vaccination campaign still remains a source of potential upside in EUR/USD for the time being.

Short-term Outlook

The continuation of the leg lower is expected to meet initial and interim support around the 100-day SMA, today at 1.2042. A clear breach of this contention area is seen putting the psychological support at 1.2000 back on the radar ahead of the so far May low at 1.1985 (May 5). On the upside, bulls need to regain monthly peaks in the 1.2180/90 band to allow for the resumption of the uptrend and a potential visit to the 1.2200 mark and beyond.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.


RELATED CONTENT

Loading ...



Copyright © 2025 FOREXSTREET S.L., All rights reserved.