Analysis

Daily Technical Outlook on Major - USD/CHF

    DAILY USD/CHF TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
Last Update At 16 Apr 2019 00:08GMT

Trend Daily Chart
Sideways

Daily Indicators
Rising

21 HR EMA
1.0033

55 HR EMA
1.0027

Trend Hourly Chart
Up

Hourly Indicators
Rising

13 HR RSI
60

14 HR DMI
+ve

Daily Analysis
One more rise b4 retreat

Resistance
1.0124 - Mar's 15-week high (7th)
1.0098 - Feb's high (14th)
1.0046 - Last Thur's 3-week high

Support
0.9997 - Last Fri's low
0.9978 - Last week's low (Mon)
0.9954 - Apr 03 low

  • USD/CHF - 1.0038.. Despite initial retreat to 1.0009 in early European trading, price climbed steadily to session highs of 1.0046 in NY afternoon due to renewed buying in eur/chf cross n closed near the day's high.

  • On the bigger picture, dlr's rally fm 2018 31-month trough of 0.9188 in mid-Feb to as high as high as 1.0068 (Jul), then to a 20-month peak at 1.0128 in mid-Nov signals downtrend fm 2016 6-year peak at 1.0344 has made a low. Despite subsequent erratic fall to a 3-month low at 0.9716 in Jan, dlr's rally to 1.0124 in early Mar suggests re-test of 1.0128 would be seen, abv would extend upmove fm 0.9188 to 1.0171, then 1.0248 later, prominent 'bearish divergence' on daily indicators should cap price below 2016 6-year peak at 1.0344. On the downside, only below 0.9878 signals choppy trading below 1.0128 would continue n risk is seen for an other fall to 0.9801, then twd 2019 low at 0.96716 (Jan).

  • Today, dlr's gain to 1.0046 Mon on renewed buying in eur/chf cross suggests recent erratic rise fm Mar's bottom at 0.9895 would head to 1.0055/60 after consolidation, however, minor 'bearish dievergence' on hourly indicators are likely to cap price below 1.0098. Below 1.0009 signals top, 0.9997, 0.9978.

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