Analysis

Daily recommendations on major – USD/JPY

USD/JPY - 136.79

Although dollar's erratic rise from Friday's 2-week bottom at 135.58 to 136.97 in New York and intra-day break there suggests 1st leg of correction from July's fresh 24-year peak at 139.39 has ended, near term overbought condition would prevent strong gain and yield decline, below 136.29 would head to 135.80/90 before bounce.

On the upside, only a daily close above 137.39 would indicate aforesaid correction ended and risk stronger gain to 137.80/90 later.

Data to be released on Wednesday

U.K. BRC shop price index, Germany Gfk consumer sentiment, France consumer confidence, Italy business confidence, consume confidence, Swiss investor sentiment.
U.S. MBA mortgage application, durable goods, durables ex-transport, durables ex-defense, goods trade balance, wholesale inventories, pending home sales and Fed interest rate decision.

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