Analysis

AUD/USD: Trading around the 200-day moving average

USD/CHF

Bullish consolidation.

  • USD/CHF's momentum is clearly bearish. Yet, the pair is still moving between hourly resistance given at 1.0344 (15/12/2016 high) and support at 1.0021 (08/12/2016 low). Key support is given at the parity. Expected to decline towards 1.0021.

  • In the long-term, the pair is still trading in range since 2011 despite some turmoil when the SNB unpegged the CHF. Key support can be found 0.8986 (30/01/2015 low). The technical structure favours nonetheless a long term bullish bias since the unpeg in January 2015.

 

USD/CAD

Sideways price action.

  • USD/CAD is showing strong bearish pressures. However, the pair has failed to hold below broken support at 1.3082 (14/12/2016 low). Key resistance is located at a distant 1.3599 (14/11/2016 high). Key support can be found at 1.3006 (19/10/2016 low). Expected to go further lower.

  • In the longer term, there is a golden cross with the 50 dma crossing the 200 dma indicating further upside pressures. Strong resistance is given at 1.4690 (22/01/2016 high). Long-term support can be found at 1.2461 (16/03/2015 low).

 

AUD/USD

Trading around the 200-day moving average.

  • AUD/USD has finally ended its rebound from support given at 0.7145 (24/05/2016 low). A short-term bullish technical structure dominates. Local support is given at 0.7331 (yesterday low). Expected to see further consolidation.

  • In the long-term, we are waiting for further signs that the current downtrend is ending. Key supports stand at 0.6009 (31/10/2008 low) . A break of the key resistance at 0.8295 (15/01/2015 high) is needed to invalidate our long-term bearish view.

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