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WTI Price Analysis: March top lures the bulls as OPEC struggles over output hike

  • WTI keeps upside break of 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, nears highest in nine months.
  • OPEC struggles to agree over output even as some participants back a delay in the production hike.
  • Ascending trend line from March adds to the upside filter.

WTI nears the end of November while revisiting the early-March tops, closed around $45.70 on Friday. The energy benchmark stays on the bull’s radar as upbeat fundamentals help the quote to remain strong beyond 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of January-April downside.

While the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine hopes favor the oil bulls, the recent indecision over the production hike delay at the OPEC and its allies (OPEC+) Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC).

Read: OPEC: No agreement to delay output hike, so far

Given the upside break of the key Fibonacci resistance gaining fundamental support, the black gold may extend its latest run-up towards the March month’s high of $48.74 amid bullish MACD.

However, an upward sloping trend line from March 11, currently around $49.30 and the $50.00 threshold can challenge the bulls afterward.

Alternatively, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a short-term support line from November 06, around $43.70/65, offers strong immediate support to the commodity.

Should WTI sellers manage to break $43.65 on a daily closing basis, the October high near $41.90 will flash on their radars.

WTI daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 45.72
Today Daily Change 0.00
Today Daily Change % 0.00%
Today daily open 45.72
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 41.5
Daily SMA50 40.43
Daily SMA100 40.84
Daily SMA200 36.82
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 45.74
Previous Daily Low 44.63
Previous Weekly High 46.31
Previous Weekly Low 42.34
Previous Monthly High 41.93
Previous Monthly Low 35.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 45.32
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 45.05
Daily Pivot Point S1 44.99
Daily Pivot Point S2 44.25
Daily Pivot Point S3 43.88
Daily Pivot Point R1 46.1
Daily Pivot Point R2 46.48
Daily Pivot Point R3 47.21

 

 

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