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USD/JPY ticks higher on a light trading season and approaches 142.00

  • The Greenback is trading at intra-day highs nearing previous support at the 141.90 area. 
  • The US Dollar Index is resuming its recovery on thin holiday trade.
  • Longer-term, the downtrend from mid-November highs remains intact. 


The US Dollar is attempting to extend its rebound from Thursday´s lows, yet with the pair still capped below previous support at 141.90, which leaves the 140.00 level on the bear´s focus.

The Yen has been the worst performer of the G7 currencies this year, but it has managed to trim some losses over the last two months, with the US Dollar crushed by hopes of Fed cuts in 2024.

Beyond that, the Bank of Japan is expected to exit its ultra-loose policy next year although the contradictory messages sent by BoJ officials have frustrated investors and are weighing on a firmer Yen recovery.

Trading is expected to be light on the last working day of the year, with, only the Chicago PMI to offer some distraction. Investors will wait for next week with the minutes of the last Fed meeting, US PMIs and, above all, December´s Nonfarm Payrolls to take directional bets on the USD.

The technical picture remains negative yet with bearish momentum losing steam, as shown by the last three week’s falling wedge. This figure has a bias to break lower although support levels at 140.00 and 139.00, the 261% extension of the mid-November decline are likely to challenge bears

On the upside, resistances are at 141.90 and 142.90.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 141.7
Today Daily Change 0.33
Today Daily Change % 0.23
Today daily open 141.37
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 143.97
Daily SMA50 147.52
Daily SMA100 147.59
Daily SMA200 142.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 141.89
Previous Daily Low 140.25
Previous Weekly High 144.96
Previous Weekly Low 141.86
Previous Monthly High 151.91
Previous Monthly Low 146.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 140.88
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 141.26
Daily Pivot Point S1 140.45
Daily Pivot Point S2 139.53
Daily Pivot Point S3 138.81
Daily Pivot Point R1 142.09
Daily Pivot Point R2 142.81
Daily Pivot Point R3 143.73

 

 

 

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