USD/JPY: A surprise decision to adjust YCC would trigger a powerful rally for the Yen – MUFG
|The JPY re-weakened over the past week. Economists at MUFG Bank analyze USD/JPY ahead of the BoJ meeting.
JPY risk skewed to a bigger gain than a loss on an unchanged YCC announcement
We admit that our conviction on a change to YCC is lower although we still cannot rule out a move given the inevitable surprise likely involved in shifting away from YCC.
Our current end-Q3 of 136.00 incorporated our view of a YCC change and implies a big drop on a surprise YCC change.
The JPY risk is certainly now skewed to a bigger JPY gain than a JPY loss on an unchanged YCC announcement.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.