USD/INR Price Analysis: Bounces off one-week low, remains below 83.00 mark
|- USD/INR states a modest recovery from a one-week low touched this Thursday.
- The technical setup favours bulls and supports prospects for a further move up.
- A convincing break below the 100/200-day SMAs will negate the positive bias.
The USD/INR pair attracts some dip-buying near the 82.80 area, or a one-week low touched during the Asian session this Tuesday and for now, seems to have snapped a three-day losing streak. Spot prices, however, remain below the 83.00 round-figure mark, the near-term bias seems tilted in favour of bullish traders.
The positive outlook is reinforced by the fact that the USD/INR pair is holding comfortably above technically significant 100-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). Moreover, positive oscillators on the daily chart – though have been losing some traction – suggest that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the upside.
A sustained strength beyond the 83.00 mark will reaffirm the constructive setup and lift the pair back towards last week's swing high, around the 83.20-83.25 region. This is followed by the 83.45 region, or the record high touched in August, which if cleared decisively will be seen as a fresh trigger for bulls and pave the way for additional gains.
On the flip side, weakness below the 82.80-82.75 region might continue to attract some dip-buying and remain limited near the 82.40-82.30 confluence, comprising the 100-day and the 200-day SMAs. The latter should act as a pivotal point, which if broken will make the USD/INR pair vulnerable to accelerate the slide towards the 82.00 round figure.
Some follow-through selling below the July monthly swing low, around the 81.70-81.65 region, will suggest that spot prices have formed a near-term top and pave the way for a deeper corrective decline. The USD/INR pair might then weaken further towards the 81.35 intermediate support before eventually dropping towards testing sub-81.00 levels.
USD/INR daily chart
Technical levels to watch
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.