USD/CNH: Bulls can’t wait to test 7.1900 – UOB Group
|The US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a sideways range of 7.1620/7.1900. Downward momentum is fading, and the likelihood of USD revisiting the 7.0635 support level has diminished, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
A break above 7.1900 is possible near term
24-HOUR VIEW: “USD traded in a sideways range of 7.1639/7.1895 last Friday, closing largely unchanged at 7.1750 (+0.01%). Further sideways range trading seems likely today, probably in a range of 7.1620/7.1900.”
1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We have held a negative USD view since late last month. After USD fell sharply to 7.0636 and rebounded, in our most recent narrative from last Tuesday (06 Aug, spot at 7.1400), we highlighted that while further USD weakness is not ruled out, the low near 7.0635 is solid support now. We added, ‘a breach of 7.2000 would mean that the weakness has stabilised.’ USD subsequently traded sideways for a few days, and downward momentum is fading. The likelihood of USD breaking below 7.0635 has diminished.”
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