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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Bounces from 3.5-week lows

  • USD/CHF's recovery from 3.5-week lows could be extended further. 
  • Gains will likely be short-lived, as the daily chart is signaling strong bearish sentiment. 

USD/CHF is currently trading at 0.9693, representing a 0.15% gain on the day, having hit a low of 0.9674 in early Asia. That level was last seen on Feb. 4.

The recovery from 3.5-week lows has confirmed bullish divergence of the relative strength index on the hourly chart. The bullish divergence indicates seller exhaustion and could power further gains in the pair. 

Gains, however, will likely be short-lived, as Thursday's big red marubozu candle indicates the bearish sentiment is quite strong. The 14-day RSI is also reporting bearish conditions with a below-50 print. 

A violation at the session low of 0.9674 would expose support at 0.9629 (Feb. 3 low). on the higher side, a close above 0.9771 (Thursday's high) is needed to invalidate the bearish outlook on the daily chart. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.969
Today Daily Change -0.0005
Today Daily Change % -0.05
Today daily open 0.9695
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9764
Daily SMA50 0.9736
Daily SMA100 0.982
Daily SMA200 0.9851
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9775
Previous Daily Low 0.9675
Previous Weekly High 0.9851
Previous Weekly Low 0.977
Previous Monthly High 0.9768
Previous Monthly Low 0.9613
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9713
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9737
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9655
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9615
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9555
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9755
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9815
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9856

 

 

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