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USD/CHF dives back below 1.0000 on Fed easing hopes

  • The dollar dives below parity, gives away previous gains.
  • Downbeat US data spur hopes of a slower Fed tightening pace.
  • USD/CHF: Further depreciation below 0.9950 might increase negative pressure.

Greenback’s recovery from the 0.9940 area has been capped at 1.0030 on Tuesday’s US trading session, as the pair gave away gains and retreated to the mid-range of the 0.99s.

The USD tumbles following weak US data

The US dollar is dropping sharply across the board as a set of downbeat US indicators has increased concerns that the Federal Reserve’s fast tightening pace might be damaging economic growth.

US housing prices contracted at a 0.7% pace in August, beyond the -0.3% expected and consumer confidence deteriorated for the second consecutive month in October. On Monday, the S&P PMIs reflected a further contraction in business activity. These figures are putting pressure on the Fed to consider shorter rate hikes in the coming months.

Hopes of Fed easing have boosted risk appetite. US stock markets expanded gains after a lackluster opening and Treasury bond yields dropped sharply. The US dollar, as a result, lost ground across the board.  

USD/CHF: Breach of 0.9950 support might increase negative pressure

The pair is now trading right above the 100-period SMA in the four-hour chart, at 0.9950, below here, bears might increase their pressure, pushing the pair towards  0.9780 (Oct. 4 and 6 lows) and 0.9740 (Sept. 30 low).

On the upside, October 24 high at 1.0035 should be cleared to aim toward 1.0065/75 (October 13 and 14 highs). Confirmation above that level would set the pair at three-year highs, aiming for May 20, 2019 high.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.9969
Today Daily Change -0.0045
Today Daily Change % -0.45
Today daily open 1.0014
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9934
Daily SMA50 0.9783
Daily SMA100 0.9722
Daily SMA200 0.9576
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0032
Previous Daily Low 0.9944
Previous Weekly High 1.0148
Previous Weekly Low 0.9919
Previous Monthly High 0.9966
Previous Monthly Low 0.948
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9998
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9978
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9962
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9909
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9874
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.005
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0085
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0137

 

 

 

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