USD bounce can extend further – Westpac
|In view of Richard Franulovich, head of FX strategy at Westpac, near term USD bounce can extend further as last minute jitters set in about phase one trade deal prospects and deepening political unrest in a couple Asian/Latin hotspots.
Key Quotes
“DXY index has retraced about half its steep October losses and can extend to 99.0 near term.”
“Encouraging upticks in Eurozone IP, PMIs and ZEW suggest the region is on the verge of a turnaround. But, sustained downside for the USD likely needs to see more compelling EZ recovery greenshoots, beyond stabilisation at depressed levels.”
“In any case, forward-looking US data is perking up at the same time, meaning the growth gap in the US’ favour isn’t really closing.”
“Consensus US growth expectations have been a handy 1-2ppts above Eurozone for sometime and no real closing of that gap is expected in 2020. So the USD is in good shape. The turn of the year will lift the lid on 2020 US political uncertainty though and could prompt a USD sentiment shift, as markets ponder a Jan Senate impeachment trial and prospects for a progressive Democrat president.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.