Still one-in-four chance of a no-deal Brexit - Reuters poll
|The latest Reuters poll conducted just ahead of the European Union (EU) leaders Brexit Summit in Brussels later this week, showed that there is still 25 percent probability that Britain and the European Union (EU) could part ways in less than six months without reaching a deal.
Key Findings:
“When asked what probability they attached to the likelihood of a disorderly Brexit - where no divorce deal is reached - economists questioned largely before the talks hit an impasse gave a median 25 percent, unchanged from a September poll. The highest forecast was 80 percent.
The most likely eventual outcome is the two sides reaching a free trade agreement, the poll taken Oct. 9-15 found, as has been predicted since Reuters first began polling on this two years ago.
In second spot was leaving without an agreement and trading under basic World Trade Organization rules. Holding in third place was Britain belonging to the European Economic Area, paying to maintain full access to the EU’s single market.
Keeping its position as least likely was Brexit being canceled. No respondent pegged this as most likely.”
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