S&P 500 Index seen at 3,800 by end-2023 – SocGen
|Economists at Société Générale believe that the S&P 500 should be trading in a wide range of 3,500 to 4,000. Ultimately, they expect the S&P 500 to end 2023 at 3,800.
US Equities not cheap yet
“The US equities risk premium is currently below average despite having declined this year, and we put the S&P 500’s fair value at 3,650 based on our inflation moderation valuation framework. But for 2023, we expect EPS to decline in 1Q23, a Fed pivot in 2Q, China’s reopening in 3Q and rising US recession risk in 4Q. These factors should see the S&P 500 trade in a wide range of 3,500-4,000 at somewhere around our 3,650 fair value number.”
“Ultimately, we expect the S&P 500 to end 2023 at 3,800.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.