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S&P 500 dips slightly from 4500 level in mixed equity trade amid surging US yields

  • US equity indices were mixed on Friday, with the S&P 500 a tad lower on the day just under 4500.
  • The Dow, meanwhile, gained about 0.5% and the Nasdaq 100 dipped a further 1.2%, reflective of surging US yields.

Major US equity indices were mixed on Friday, with the S&P 500 ending the session flat near 4500, the Dow gaining about 0.5% to trade near 34,750 and the Nasdaq 100 index losing about 1.5% to fall to fresh weekly lows in the 14,300s, where it was testing its 50-Day Moving Average. All major indices ended the week in the red, though the Dow was down only about 0.1%, versus losses of more than 1.0% for the S&P 500 and nearly 3.5% for the Nasdaq 100.

The main driver of the divergence in performance between the Dow and Nasdaq on the final day of the week, and indeed the week in its entirety, has been the sharp rise in US bond yields amid recent hawkish Fed rhetoric. US 10-year yields jumped 30 bps on the week to end above 2.70%, as traders up their bets as to where the Fed’s terminal rate will be. The effect on equities is that stocks with a higher “opportunity cost” to hold, i.e. those whose valuation is based disproportionately more on expectations for future earnings growth rather than current earnings, perform worse.

These are disproportionately tech stocks that crowd the Nasdaq 100 and also dominate the S&P 500. Meanwhile, stocks with a positive correlation to interest rates, such as financials, have performed better. Indeed, the S&P 500 GICS Financials sector was up 1.2% on Friday, the second-best performing sector on the day after Energy, which rallied nearly 3.0%.

While geopolitics remains in the spotlight, Fed policy has returned to the forefront as the dominant equity market theme, and this is set to remain the case next week with investors on notice for the latest US Producer and Consumer Price Inflation readings. Next week also sees the unofficial start to the Q1 2022 earnings season as big US banks start reporting figures.

SP 500

Overview
Today last price 4499.42
Today Daily Change -0.70
Today Daily Change % -0.02
Today daily open 4500.12
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 4466.75
Daily SMA50 4421.37
Daily SMA100 4530.54
Daily SMA200 4498.68
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 4519.55
Previous Daily Low 4448.47
Previous Weekly High 4636.57
Previous Weekly Low 4506.13
Previous Monthly High 4636.57
Previous Monthly Low 4136.82
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 4492.4
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 4475.62
Daily Pivot Point S1 4459.21
Daily Pivot Point S2 4418.3
Daily Pivot Point S3 4388.13
Daily Pivot Point R1 4530.29
Daily Pivot Point R2 4560.46
Daily Pivot Point R3 4601.37

 

 

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