Short USD/JPY: the best global recession hedge – Goldman Sachs
|Analysts at the US investment banking giant, Goldman Sachs, believe that buying Yen as a hedge against a global recession is the best bet. However, they do not see a global recession coming in the near-term.
Key Quotes:
“A global recession is likely to see falling US yields alongside falling US stocks.
USD/JPY the most likely pair to weaken.
US/yen falls during risk-off periods as investors move into the safe-haven yen.
BOJ yield curve control policy fixes nominal yields in Japan, thus a US yield fall makes a more favourable Japan / US differential.
Not expecting a global recession in the near term.
But do not expect a drop in activity ex-US.”
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