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Sell GBP/USD with target at 1.2630 - Westpac

Analysts at Westpac offered a trade plan to sell GBP/USD

Entry: Sell 50% at 1.2900, 50% at 1.2975, Stop: 1.3065, Target: 1.2630

Rationale:

  • Looking to sell into any further GBP squeeze into May, this is likely to be a two week strategy
  • The 29th May EU-27 (ex UK) Brexit summit is likely to produce a strong stance for negotiations
  • UK election support for GBP is likely to wane with over 5 weeks before polls
  • Trump Administration reformed tax reform and other initiatives should partially re-instate recently unwound Trump trades
  • Rebounds in US yields suggest a further USD rebound
  • Pessimism over 1Q GDP likely to have overstated the pullback in activity as earnings hold strong

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