JPY underperforms ahead of BOJ hike – BBH
|The Japanese Yen (JPY) is lagging as markets price in a 25bps BOJ hike on December 19, with Governor Ueda signaling moderate inflation risk but persistent upward wage pressures; USD/JPY may slide toward 140 following US-Japan yield differentials, BBH FX analysts report.
Governor Ueda highlights future wage pressures
"JPY is underperforming. Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda struck a balance tone in his latest interview. Ueda noted he does not see very high risk of too much inflation at present but cautioned that 'upward pressure on wages will continue in the future' due to a labor shortage."
"The swaps curve price in 90% odds of a 25bps BOJ rate hike to 0.75% on December 19. Tighter monetary policy paired with Japan’s government latest fiscal stimulus package is JPY positive. We see room for USD/JPY to adjust lower towards the level implied by US-Japan two-year bond yield spreads around 140.00."
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.